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Game #35 Preview/Gamethread: Jackets host Leaves on Christmas Eve Eve

Dec 14, 2023; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Columbus Blue Jackets defeneseman Zach Werenski (8) gets off a shot on Toronto Maple Leafs goaltender Ilya Samsonov (35) as defenseman Morgan Rielly (44) chases during the overtime at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Saturday, December 23, 2023 – 7:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena, Columbus, OH
TV: Bally Sports Ohio – Radio: 97.1 FM
Opponent’s Blog: Bay Street Blues

Toronto Maple Leafs (16-8-6, 38 points, 2nd Atlantic, 6th East)

at

Columbus Blue Jackets (11-17-6, 28 points, 8th Metro, 15th East)

It’s the last game before the Christmas break! Will the Jackets play like they did in the first 40 minutes against Toronto last week, or the last 20 minutes?

Player to Watch

Per Jeff Svoboda, Damon Severson is poised to return, with Jake Bean exiting the lineup.

Severson has missed just over a month of action, after suffering an oblique injury in a loss to Philadelphia, the team’s ninth straight. Even though the team has won more often in December than in November, the defensive play has clearly declined (see below for the current goals allowed rate). Severson leads Columbus defensemen (minimum 100 minutes played at 5v5) in on-ice shot attempt share and expected goals percentage.

Jackets Notes

Svoboda is also reporting that Jake Bean is the one slated to come out of the lineup. This despite Bean and partner David Jiricek having great on-ice numbers against Washington on Thursday. Do the coaches even look at any advanced stats? Or is this all just ~*~vibes~*~ ?

Speaking of coaches, it’s good to see that Steve McCarthy has recovered from his concussion after getting struck by a puck, and is back on the job.

The Other Bench

Weird run for Toronto since losing in OT to the Jackets:

7-0 win over the Penguins
5-2 loss to the Rangers
9-3 loss in Buffalo (to the Sabres team that had just given up 9 to the Jackets

Also weird: our 3 games this season against the Leafs are occurring in a span of 15 days

Season Series

12/14/2023 CBJ 6 @ TOR 5 (OT)
12/23/2023 TOR @ CBJ
12/29/2023 TOR @ CBJ

Stats

TorontoColumbus
3.57 (4)GPG3.15 (15)
3.43 (26)GAPG3.62 (31)
25.8 (5)PP%16.0 (25)
78.3 (21)PK%82.1 (11)
49.1 (19)5v5 Shot Attempt %47.0 (26)
48.6 (22)5v5 Unblocked Shot Attempt %47.5 (24)
9.3 (11)5v5 Shooting %9.9 (6)
90.7 (19)5v5 Save %90.5 (23)
Auston Matthews, 26G LeaderKirill Marchenko, Boone Jenner, 13
William Nylander, 27A LeaderZach Werenski, 24
William Nylander, 42P LeaderZach Werenski, 25
Max Domi, 50PIM LeaderErik Gudbranson, 44
7-3-4Home/Road7-9-3
5-2-3Last 104-4-2

Projected Lines

Columbus Blue Jackets

Johnny GaudreauAdam FantilliJustin Danforth
Yegor ChinakhovDmitri VoronkovKirill Marchenko
Emil BemstromCole SillingerKent Johnson
Alexandre TexierSean KuralyBrendan Gaunce
Zach WerenskiDavid Jiricek
Ivan ProvorovDamon Severson
Andrew PeekeErik Gudbranson
Elvis Merzlikins
Daniil Tarasov/Spencer Martin

Toronto Maple Leafs

Matthew KniesAuston MatthewsMitch Marner
Tyler BertuzziJohn TavaresWilliam Nylander
Nicholas RobertsonMax DomiCalle Jarnkrok
Bobby McMannDavid KampfNoah Gregor
Morgan ReillyT.J. Brodie
Jake McCabeTimothy Liljegren
Simon BenoitWilliam Lagesson
Ilya Samsonov
Martin Jones