Forget how tonight’s lottery works? Here’s a quick reminder:
The lottery will involve the seven teams not included in the 24-team playoff system that the NHL players and league approved as it returns to play, along with the eight teams eliminated in the play-in games or qualifying rounds, however fans wish to define them.
The draft lottery, which again takes place tonight, occurs before the 24-team tournament gets underway. The teams that are eliminated will be represented by unassigned “placeholder” picks. The odds for the seven teams not in the tournament will be based on regular season points percentage for the 2019-20 season. If a placeholder pick wins the lottery, a second lottery drawing will take place at a later date to determine which of the eight eliminated teams will make the pick. Odds there will be based on regular season points percentage for the 2019-20 season.
Sure, as much as anything else this league does. Here are the odds for tonight’s lottery.
This post will be updated with the results.
UPDATE: PLACEHOLDER WINS #1 OVERALL PICK
A qualifying round loser will have the #1 pick in the draft.
There are 16 teams in the qualifying round. Meaning eight lose. Each of those eight losing teams will have an equal chance at winning the #1 overall pick (12.5% chance).
Teams who could theoretically win it: Chicago, Edmonton, Montreal, Pittsburgh, Toronto, Carolina, Columbus, NYI, NYR, Florida, Arizona, Minnesota, Winnipeg, Calgary, Vancouver, Nashville.
Eight of those 16 listed will lose in the play in games (best of five series) and will have equal shots at the #1 pick.
The question now becomes: does a team consider throwing their series for a 1 in 8 shot at a generational goal scorer?