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Game 33 Preview: Arniel vs.Hitchcock. How Fitting.

Is it time for a coaching change in Columbus?

Columbus Blue Jackets at St.Louis Blues

December 18, 2011 - 8:00pm EST
Scottrade Center - St.Louis, Missouri
Radio: 97.1 WBNS-FM - TV: Fox Sports Ohio
Opponents Blog: St. Louis Game Time
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When the NHL schedule was first released, I identified the just-completed five game home stand as a crucial point in the season. Prior to the start of the year, I thought this stretch would be a fantastic opportunity for the Jackets to gain some points prior to the break, in what was hopefully a battle for the top of the division.It's obvious that things didn't work out that way, but I believe that the home stand was still crucial.

Crucial for the future of Scott Arniel as head coach.

So far, there have been six NHL head coaches fired this season already. All of those teams were struggling or looking for a shakeup, and all are ahead of Columbus in the standings. It's admirable that management and/or ownership has allowed Arniel to fight through the team's struggles, but there are no excuses left. The team's best players are healthy, the goaltending hasn't been a problem in over a month, but yet the team (which carries one of the highest payrolls in the league) still continues to lose on a regular basis. The recent home stand was an opportunity for Arniel to prove that this lineup could win. Instead, the team went 1-3-1. They looked out of sync, sloppy and disinterested. If this stretch of games wasn't the best litmus test, I don't know what it is.

Somewhat ironically, if tonight is Arniel's last game as Columbus' coach, it will be against the St.Louis Blues, coached by none other than Ken Hitchcock, the man that Arniel replaced with the Jackets.

The Jackets and Blues truly dislike each other, and tonight's game will no doubt be physical and nasty. Whether tonight is Arniel's last game or not, something has to give, and the irony of facing Hitchcock shouldn't be lost on anyone.

Star-divide

Projected Lineups

Columbus Blue Jackets

(9-19-4, 22 Points; 5th division, 15th conference)
Vinny Prospal Jeff Carter Rick Nash
R.J. Umberger
Mark Letestu Ryan Johansen
Antoine Vermette Derick Brassard
Derek Dorsett
Derek MacKenzie
Samuel Pahlsson
Jared Boll
Fedor Tyutin Nikita Nikitin
Marc Methot James Wisniewski
Grant Clitsome John Moore
Curtis Sanford
Steve Mason


St.Louis Blues

(18-10-1, 37 Points; 2md Division, 6th Conference)

Alexander Steen
David Backes
T.J Oshie
David Perron
Patrik Berglund
Chris Stewart
Matt D'Agostini
Jason Arnott
Jamie Langenbrunner
Chris Porter
Scott Nichol
Ryan Reaves
Carlo Colaiacovo
Alex Pietrangelo
Barret Jackman
Kevin Shattenkirk
Roman Polak
Kris Russell
Brian Elliott
Jaroslav Halak

Season Series:

27/11/11 St.Louis 2 at Columbus 1 - RECAP

By The Numbers:

Scoring
STL - 2.45 G/G (25th)
CBJ - 2.28 G/G (28th)

Defense
STL - 1.97 GA/G (2nd)
CBJ - 3.19 GA/G (25th)

Power Play
STL - 11.1% (30th)
CBJ - 13.0% (27th)

Penalty Kill
STL - 81.3% (19th)
CBJ - 76.0% (28th)

Game Notes:

  • The Blues have the worst powerplay in the league, but the Jackets are near the bottom of the league in terms of PP and PK percentage. This won't be a special teams battle tonight, the game will be won five-on-five.
  • Vinny Prospal leads the Jackets in scoring, with 26 points in 32 games.
  • Rick Nash is the only Jackets with double-digit goals, with ten.
  • Nash is a team-worst -16 on the year.
  • The Blues top line of Backes, Oshie and Steen have ten goals apiece.
  • Former Jackets Kris Russell leads the Blues' defense in scoring, with 5-2-7.

While I never like to see a coach lose his job, and I'm certainly not promoting Arniel to lose his, I believe that now is the team to make a change, and after two separate deals to bring in new blood to the roster that has led to more losing, a coaching change feels inevitable. The only issue that I see with the timing is the proximity to the holidays, but whether it's after tonight's game or after the new year, change is nigh.

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Despair

I have given up hope that Howson will replace Arniel. If what you say is true, I would expect a two-fer in any management change for the team. That said, I really see an overall management paralysis on this issue. It’s as if everyone associated with the CBJ is in denial that what keeps happening is really possible. I despair for my team and see no hope for the future. It’s very demoralizing.

by Tom _Murrell on Dec 18, 2011 2:53 PM EST reply actions  

Looking at goals per game data (something I’m working on for a fanpost) suggests to me that coaching is, yet again (or still?) a serious problem right now. The players are having a down year almost across the board, so a statistical return to their norms and/or a coaching change that could improve overall play would be a cause for hope for the future. Essentially, there is scoring talent in place – the team just isn’t being coached or can’t put it together in the right way. Most of them (Umberger, Vermette, Carter, Nash) are established players and thus very likely to return to averages and score more next year.

CCT, CBJ, SU, NYM, Bills Fan. It can be depressing.
Sometimes I tweet things

by zekebud on Dec 18, 2011 4:39 PM EST up reply actions  

I can’t help thinking that part of the problem is the organization’s willingness to accept losing with such patience. I can’t help but think that major changes would happen if Philly, Detroit, and others would be in our shoes. STL was hovering around .500 when they fired their coach, we’re 9-19-4…

Not that I think the issue is entirely on Arniel, I want to be clear. Our best players are having difficulty being consistent. Is this a coaching issue, or something else? Training/Conditioning? Attitude? Committment? Something else?

What I do know is that come the trade deadline we will be sellers. So, would a roster makeover help à la Florida? I couldn’t help but think that it would.

At this point I’d rather see the Jackets finish the season dead last in the standings. Perhaps getting Nail with a #1 pick would pump some much needed energy into the club. After all, getting the #1 Draft Pick has worked well for so many others: Chicago, Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, …

(yes, I know I put that twice)

Playing for 1st Round Draft Picks since 2000!

by PomeroyCBJFan on Dec 18, 2011 4:20 PM EST reply actions  

According to Porty, Mase in, Sanford out. Back spasms for Sanford. Will be interesting to see how Mason can do tonight. He played pretty well after letting in an early goal. Looked shaky most of night, but lets see how he does tonight.

by cbjfan14 on Dec 18, 2011 5:52 PM EST reply actions  

If Howson won’t fire Arniel, maybe someone should hire a hitman. (Relax, I’m not serious.)

by Westside Paul on Dec 18, 2011 8:15 PM EST reply actions  

Rick Nash was pretty good at knocking Mason out for a few games with a puck…

CCT, CBJ, SU, NYM, Bills Fan. It can be depressing.
Sometimes I tweet things

by zekebud on Dec 18, 2011 9:41 PM EST up reply actions  

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